**Strong holds and sustained audience interest position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for another robust sixth-weekend performance above $15 million.** The Tom Holland-led Marvel film opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July and has maintained the top spot through its fifth weekend with $22.5 million, reflecting a 42% drop that aligns with its 2.5x legs to date. Cumulative domestic gross has reached approximately $896 million amid minimal late-summer competition and strong word-of-mouth. Traders see these factors—combined with the film’s unprecedented pace toward $900 million-plus domestically—driving consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 86.5% implied probability, while smaller brackets reflect only modest downside risk from typical seasonal softening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠:全新一天》第六周末票房
1500万美元以上 86%
1400万-1500万 15%
1300万-1400万 4.4%
1200万-1300万 1.1%
低于1100万
1%
1100万-1200万美元
1%
1200万-1300万
1%
1300万-1400万
4%
1400万-1500万
15%
1500万美元以上
86%
1500万美元以上 86%
1400万-1500万 15%
1300万-1400万 4.4%
1200万-1300万 1.1%
低于1100万
1%
1100万-1200万美元
1%
1200万-1300万
1%
1300万-1400万
4%
1400万-1500万
15%
1500万美元以上
86%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
**Strong holds and sustained audience interest position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for another robust sixth-weekend performance above $15 million.** The Tom Holland-led Marvel film opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July and has maintained the top spot through its fifth weekend with $22.5 million, reflecting a 42% drop that aligns with its 2.5x legs to date. Cumulative domestic gross has reached approximately $896 million amid minimal late-summer competition and strong word-of-mouth. Traders see these factors—combined with the film’s unprecedented pace toward $900 million-plus domestically—driving consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 86.5% implied probability, while smaller brackets reflect only modest downside risk from typical seasonal softening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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