Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman, Ad-Damazin, and other areas through mid-September 2026 alongside SAF counteroperations. International efforts center on a Quad-backed roadmap for a humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, but SAF leaders condition progress on full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities, while RSF positions and external support complicate enforcement. The UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for one month in September amid U.S. proposals for a nationwide ban and statements excluding the rival generals from future governance; Russia has signaled opposition. A Quintet delegation conducted direct consultations in Khartoum in early September alongside UN envoy efforts on de-escalation and prisoner exchanges, yet no breakthrough has materialized amid shifting territorial control and persistent external involvement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$119,424 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
12%
$119,424 交易量
2026年12月31日
$14,886 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman, Ad-Damazin, and other areas through mid-September 2026 alongside SAF counteroperations. International efforts center on a Quad-backed roadmap for a humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, but SAF leaders condition progress on full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities, while RSF positions and external support complicate enforcement. The UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for one month in September amid U.S. proposals for a nationwide ban and statements excluding the rival generals from future governance; Russia has signaled opposition. A Quintet delegation conducted direct consultations in Khartoum in early September alongside UN envoy efforts on de-escalation and prisoner exchanges, yet no breakthrough has materialized amid shifting territorial control and persistent external involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$119,424结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman, Ad-Damazin, and other areas through mid-September 2026 alongside SAF counteroperations. International efforts center on a Quad-backed roadmap for a humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, but SAF leaders condition progress on full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities, while RSF positions and external support complicate enforcement. The UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for one month in September amid U.S. proposals for a nationwide ban and statements excluding the rival generals from future governance; Russia has signaled opposition. A Quintet delegation conducted direct consultations in Khartoum in early September alongside UN envoy efforts on de-escalation and prisoner exchanges, yet no breakthrough has materialized amid shifting territorial control and persistent external involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$119,424结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETOngoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to block any near-term ceasefire, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman, Ad-Damazin, and other areas through mid-September 2026 alongside SAF counteroperations. International efforts center on a Quad-backed roadmap for a humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, but SAF leaders condition progress on full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities, while RSF positions and external support complicate enforcement. The UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for one month in September amid U.S. proposals for a nationwide ban and statements excluding the rival generals from future governance; Russia has signaled opposition. A Quintet delegation conducted direct consultations in Khartoum in early September alongside UN envoy efforts on de-escalation and prisoner exchanges, yet no breakthrough has materialized amid shifting territorial control and persistent external involvement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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