Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and state institutions underpins the 95.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He continues to lead key diplomatic and policy initiatives without credible signs of elite defections, health limitations, or institutional challenges as of mid-2026, while ongoing military purges reinforce rather than erode his control. The absence of a designated successor further signals expectations of a fourth term at the 2027 Party Congress. Realistic scenarios that could still shift this outlook include a sudden medical event or an unforeseen leadership fracture within the Politburo or Central Military Commission, though both remain low-probability based on current reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$12,041,633 交易量
$12,041,633 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
是
5% 概率
$12,041,633 交易量
$12,041,633 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and state institutions underpins the 95.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He continues to lead key diplomatic and policy initiatives without credible signs of elite defections, health limitations, or institutional challenges as of mid-2026, while ongoing military purges reinforce rather than erode his control. The absence of a designated successor further signals expectations of a fourth term at the 2027 Party Congress. Realistic scenarios that could still shift this outlook include a sudden medical event or an unforeseen leadership fracture within the Politburo or Central Military Commission, though both remain low-probability based on current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$12,041,633结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and state institutions underpins the 95.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He continues to lead key diplomatic and policy initiatives without credible signs of elite defections, health limitations, or institutional challenges as of mid-2026, while ongoing military purges reinforce rather than erode his control. The absence of a designated successor further signals expectations of a fourth term at the 2027 Party Congress. Realistic scenarios that could still shift this outlook include a sudden medical event or an unforeseen leadership fracture within the Politburo or Central Military Commission, though both remain low-probability based on current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$12,041,633结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and state institutions underpins the 95.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. He continues to lead key diplomatic and policy initiatives without credible signs of elite defections, health limitations, or institutional challenges as of mid-2026, while ongoing military purges reinforce rather than erode his control. The absence of a designated successor further signals expectations of a fourth term at the 2027 Party Congress. Realistic scenarios that could still shift this outlook include a sudden medical event or an unforeseen leadership fracture within the Politburo or Central Military Commission, though both remain low-probability based on current reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题