Skip to main content
icon for Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

icon for Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

6% 概率
Polymarket

$10,704,135 交易量

6% 概率
Polymarket

$10,704,135 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains a dominant position within the Chinese Communist Party with no visible internal challenges or succession mechanisms in place ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for late 2027. Recent military leadership purges, including the investigation of senior figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under Xi rather than eroding it, while his public engagements—including a May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump and emphasis on the 15th Five-Year Plan—underscore ongoing control over foreign policy and economic priorities. Analyses from credible observers note the absence of any appointed successor or factional resistance capable of forcing removal before the end of 2026, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.3% probability for “No.” Structural factors, such as Xi’s third-term precedent and nominal age norms that have been flexibly applied, reinforce expectations of continuity through the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,704,135
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains a dominant position within the Chinese Communist Party with no visible internal challenges or succession mechanisms in place ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for late 2027. Recent military leadership purges, including the investigation of senior figures such as Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under Xi rather than eroding it, while his public engagements—including a May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump and emphasis on the 15th Five-Year Plan—underscore ongoing control over foreign policy and economic priorities. Analyses from credible observers note the absence of any appointed successor or factional resistance capable of forcing removal before the end of 2026, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.3% probability for “No.” Structural factors, such as Xi’s third-term precedent and nominal age norms that have been flexibly applied, reinforce expectations of continuity through the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,704,135
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 6%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 6¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 6%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"已产生 $10.7 million 的总交易量(自Jul 3, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"的当前概率为 6%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 6%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Xi Jinping out before 2027?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。