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德克萨斯州参议院选举对决

icon for 德克萨斯州参议院选举对决

德克萨斯州参议院选举对决

塔拉里科与帕克斯顿 62%

塔拉里科 & 科宁 38%

克罗克特与亨特 <1%

塔拉里科和亨特 <1%

Polymarket

$721,447 交易量

塔拉里科与帕克斯顿 62%

塔拉里科 & 科宁 38%

克罗克特与亨特 <1%

塔拉里科和亨特 <1%

Polymarket

$721,447 交易量

塔拉里科与帕克斯顿

$275,333 交易量

62%

塔拉里科 & 科宁

$197,086 交易量

38%

克罗克特与亨特

$24,730 交易量

<1%

塔拉里科和亨特

$24,058 交易量

<1%

克罗克特与帕克斯顿

$107,066 交易量

<1%

克罗克特与科宁

$65,651 交易量

<1%

其他

$27,524 交易量

<1%

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$721,447
结束日期
2026-03-03
市场开放时间
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, faces an undecided Republican opponent in the May 26 GOP runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, driving trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 62%. Recent TPOR polls show Paxton leading Cornyn 48-40 among likely runoff voters, bolstered by his appeal to the GOP base despite fundraising gaps, while head-to-head surveys indicate Talarico edging both Republicans amid strong Democratic fundraising ($27 million in Q1). Escalating attack ads and donor battles this week have intensified the runoff, with Wesley Hunt's third-place primary finish sidelining other pairings.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$721,447
结束日期
2026-03-03
市场开放时间
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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常见问题

"德克萨斯州参议院选举对决"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"塔拉里科与帕克斯顿",概率为 62%,其次是"塔拉里科 & 科宁",概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"德克萨斯州参议院选举对决"已产生 $721.4K 的总交易量(自Feb 19, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"德克萨斯州参议院选举对决"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"德克萨斯州参议院选举对决"的当前领先者是"塔拉里科与帕克斯顿",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"塔拉里科 & 科宁",概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"德克萨斯州参议院选举对决"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。