Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Reuters/Ipsos and other surveys from mid-to-late August showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net negatives of roughly -20 to -26 points. Economic pressures, particularly record-low ratings on prices and inflation, combined with foreign policy strains from the Iran conflict and its effects on energy costs, have weighed on support and limited intensity among Republican voters. These factors align with the market's heaviest positioning on the 38.0–38.9 ranges for September 4, as traders assess whether short-term stability or minor fluctuations will hold before the next data release. Upcoming economic indicators and any diplomatic updates could still shift readings within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 32%
38.5–38.9 31%
39.0+ 22%
37.5–37.9 21%
低于37.0
10%
37.0–37.4
13%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
32%
38.5–38.9
31%
39.0+
22%
38.0–38.4 32%
38.5–38.9 31%
39.0+ 22%
37.5–37.9 21%
低于37.0
10%
37.0–37.4
13%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
32%
38.5–38.9
31%
39.0+
22%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with Reuters/Ipsos and other surveys from mid-to-late August showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net negatives of roughly -20 to -26 points. Economic pressures, particularly record-low ratings on prices and inflation, combined with foreign policy strains from the Iran conflict and its effects on energy costs, have weighed on support and limited intensity among Republican voters. These factors align with the market's heaviest positioning on the 38.0–38.9 ranges for September 4, as traders assess whether short-term stability or minor fluctuations will hold before the next data release. Upcoming economic indicators and any diplomatic updates could still shift readings within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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