Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms indicate a decline in President Trump's approval rating through mid-week, prompting traders to price a 97.5% probability that the final weekly average will close lower. This near-certain consensus reflects steady downward movement in daily tracking data amid responses to ongoing legislative activity and economic indicators. While the market reflects broad agreement among participants staking real capital, late-week releases on inflation, employment figures, or diplomatic developments could still produce an upward swing before the period ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Up
$1,183 交易量
$1,183 交易量
2026-05-15
Up
$1,183 交易量
$1,183 交易量
2026-05-15
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms indicate a decline in President Trump's approval rating through mid-week, prompting traders to price a 97.5% probability that the final weekly average will close lower. This near-certain consensus reflects steady downward movement in daily tracking data amid responses to ongoing legislative activity and economic indicators. While the market reflects broad agreement among participants staking real capital, late-week releases on inflation, employment figures, or diplomatic developments could still produce an upward swing before the period ends.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
交易量
$1,183结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms indicate a decline in President Trump's approval rating through mid-week, prompting traders to price a 97.5% probability that the final weekly average will close lower. This near-certain consensus reflects steady downward movement in daily tracking data amid responses to ongoing legislative activity and economic indicators. While the market reflects broad agreement among participants staking real capital, late-week releases on inflation, employment figures, or diplomatic developments could still produce an upward swing before the period ends.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$1,183结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates from major survey firms indicate a decline in President Trump's approval rating through mid-week, prompting traders to price a 97.5% probability that the final weekly average will close lower. This near-certain consensus reflects steady downward movement in daily tracking data amid responses to ongoing legislative activity and economic indicators. While the market reflects broad agreement among participants staking real capital, late-week releases on inflation, employment figures, or diplomatic developments could still produce an upward swing before the period ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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