US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,298,270 交易量
2026-01-31
6月30日
6%
$1,298,270 交易量
6月30日
$213,507 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,298,270结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,298,270结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in a nighttime operation targeting alleged narco-terrorism, followed by swift withdrawal without ground troop deployment or occupation. This one-off military action prompted US sanctions relief for acting President Delcy Rodríguez, enabling economic stabilization and political transition toward elections. No further US troops have entered Venezuela in the intervening months, with policy emphasizing diplomacy, regional security via SOUTHCOM, and congressional oversight on war powers. Absent major provocations like regime resurgence or border threats, trader consensus reflects de-escalation, though Venezuelan polls and interim government performance could signal risks ahead of vote deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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