OpenAI's GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 73% implied probability by topping LM Arena and blind human-vote leaderboards with superior prompt adherence, legible text rendering in complex scenes, and overall photorealism compared to rivals. Its integration into ChatGPT enables broad real-world testing and iteration advantages that competitors lack. Ideogram 4.0, launched in June with strong typography focus and open-weight options, holds second at 33.5% but trails in aggregated benchmarks. Lower probabilities for Google, Midjourney derivatives, Black Forest Labs' Flux, and others reflect narrower strengths in specific niches without matching GPT Image 2's consistent cross-category leadership through mid-August 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 73%
微软AI 12.5%
字节跳动 9%
Google 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
OpenAI
73%
微软AI
13%
字节跳动
9%
8%
Luma AI
8%
腾讯
4%
阿里巴巴
4%
Meta
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Ideogram
3%
Reve
3%
Recraft
2%
Black Forest Labs
1%
OpenAI 73%
微软AI 12.5%
字节跳动 9%
Google 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
OpenAI
$3,441 交易量
73%
微软AI
$161 交易量
13%
字节跳动
$75 交易量
9%
$93 交易量
8%
Luma AI
$75 交易量
8%
腾讯
$176 交易量
4%
阿里巴巴
$85 交易量
4%
Meta
$75 交易量
3%
SpaceXAI
$75 交易量
3%
Ideogram
$112 交易量
3%
Reve
$90 交易量
3%
Recraft
$88 交易量
2%
Black Forest Labs
$112 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 73% implied probability by topping LM Arena and blind human-vote leaderboards with superior prompt adherence, legible text rendering in complex scenes, and overall photorealism compared to rivals. Its integration into ChatGPT enables broad real-world testing and iteration advantages that competitors lack. Ideogram 4.0, launched in June with strong typography focus and open-weight options, holds second at 33.5% but trails in aggregated benchmarks. Lower probabilities for Google, Midjourney derivatives, Black Forest Labs' Flux, and others reflect narrower strengths in specific niches without matching GPT Image 2's consistent cross-category leadership through mid-August 2026.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,657结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 73% implied probability by topping LM Arena and blind human-vote leaderboards with superior prompt adherence, legible text rendering in complex scenes, and overall photorealism compared to rivals. Its integration into ChatGPT enables broad real-world testing and iteration advantages that competitors lack. Ideogram 4.0, launched in June with strong typography focus and open-weight options, holds second at 33.5% but trails in aggregated benchmarks. Lower probabilities for Google, Midjourney derivatives, Black Forest Labs' Flux, and others reflect narrower strengths in specific niches without matching GPT Image 2's consistent cross-category leadership through mid-August 2026.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$4,657结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's GPT Image 2, released in April 2026, drives the 73% implied probability by topping LM Arena and blind human-vote leaderboards with superior prompt adherence, legible text rendering in complex scenes, and overall photorealism compared to rivals. Its integration into ChatGPT enables broad real-world testing and iteration advantages that competitors lack. Ideogram 4.0, launched in June with strong typography focus and open-weight options, holds second at 33.5% but trails in aggregated benchmarks. Lower probabilities for Google, Midjourney derivatives, Black Forest Labs' Flux, and others reflect narrower strengths in specific niches without matching GPT Image 2's consistent cross-category leadership through mid-August 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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