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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$38,092 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$38,092 交易量

Polymarket

May 15

$5,110 交易量

<1%

May 22

$25,583 交易量

74%

May 31

$7,400 交易量

85%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security committees to draft reconciliation legislation providing up to $72 billion for immigration enforcement agencies including ICE and CBP. Draft text was released in early May, with committee markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and a potential Senate floor vote targeted before June 1. The reconciliation process permits passage by simple majority, bypassing the filibuster and allowing the narrow Republican majority to advance the measure without Democratic support. Key factors include ongoing funding pressures on border security operations and the procedural timeline set by the budget resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$38,092
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security committees to draft reconciliation legislation providing up to $72 billion for immigration enforcement agencies including ICE and CBP. Draft text was released in early May, with committee markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and a potential Senate floor vote targeted before June 1. The reconciliation process permits passage by simple majority, bypassing the filibuster and allowing the narrow Republican majority to advance the measure without Democratic support. Key factors include ongoing funding pressures on border security operations and the procedural timeline set by the budget resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$38,092
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"May 31",概率为 85%,其次是"May 22",概率为 74%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?"已产生 $38.1K 的总交易量(自May 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?"的当前领先者是"May 31",概率为 85%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"May 22",概率为 74%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。