Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms underpins the 65.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the 119th Congress, blocking near-term action, but markets price Democratic House gains at roughly 85%, which would enable a simple-majority vote on articles starting in 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including those filed by Representatives Shri Thanedar and Al Green, along with polling on public views of grounds for impeachment, signal sustained party interest. Short-term contracts for impeachment by late 2026 trade near 2%, underscoring that the probability hinges on the midterm outcome and subsequent legislative calendar rather than immediate proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market's scope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
66% 概率
$101,816 交易量
$101,816 交易量
2029-01-19
赚 3.25% 收益
是
66% 概率
$101,816 交易量
$101,816 交易量
2029-01-19
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms underpins the 65.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the 119th Congress, blocking near-term action, but markets price Democratic House gains at roughly 85%, which would enable a simple-majority vote on articles starting in 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including those filed by Representatives Shri Thanedar and Al Green, along with polling on public views of grounds for impeachment, signal sustained party interest. Short-term contracts for impeachment by late 2026 trade near 2%, underscoring that the probability hinges on the midterm outcome and subsequent legislative calendar rather than immediate proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market's scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$101,816结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms underpins the 65.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the 119th Congress, blocking near-term action, but markets price Democratic House gains at roughly 85%, which would enable a simple-majority vote on articles starting in 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including those filed by Representatives Shri Thanedar and Al Green, along with polling on public views of grounds for impeachment, signal sustained party interest. Short-term contracts for impeachment by late 2026 trade near 2%, underscoring that the probability hinges on the midterm outcome and subsequent legislative calendar rather than immediate proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market's scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$101,816结束日期
2029-01-20市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETDemocrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms underpins the 65.5% trader consensus on impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the 119th Congress, blocking near-term action, but markets price Democratic House gains at roughly 85%, which would enable a simple-majority vote on articles starting in 2027. Individual Democratic resolutions, including those filed by Representatives Shri Thanedar and Al Green, along with polling on public views of grounds for impeachment, signal sustained party interest. Short-term contracts for impeachment by late 2026 trade near 2%, underscoring that the probability hinges on the midterm outcome and subsequent legislative calendar rather than immediate proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market's scope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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