Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Russia have remained stalled since the August 2025 Anchorage summit produced no formal agreement on Ukraine. Recent developments center on CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s covert Moscow visit, where he proposed a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Zelenskyy to restart negotiations, though Putin has previously rejected such formats and no bilateral dates have been set. Ongoing U.S. envoy contacts and phone calls between the leaders have yielded limited progress amid battlefield stalemates and shifting territorial demands. These factors have positioned “no meeting by December 31” as the leading outcome in trader assessments, while China’s elevated share reflects speculation over potential neutral third-country venues should talks advance. Structural barriers, including unresolved core issues and lack of confirmed schedules, continue to shape the current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
截至12月31日不见面 52%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus <1%
$776,312 交易量
$776,312 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
52%
China
41%
Russia
4%
Belarus
1%
Turkey
1%
United States
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
截至12月31日不见面 52%
China 41%
Russia 4.3%
Belarus <1%
$776,312 交易量
$776,312 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
$147,322 交易量
52%
China
$98,608 交易量
41%
Russia
$88,171 交易量
4%
Belarus
$39,551 交易量
1%
Turkey
$34,744 交易量
1%
United States
$42,930 交易量
1%
Gulf country
$28,486 交易量
1%
Other
$28,656 交易量
1%
Switzerland
$40,905 交易量
<1%
Finland
$36,778 交易量
<1%
Other EU country
$34,049 交易量
<1%
Ukraine
$25,603 交易量
<1%
South Korea
$45,393 交易量
<1%
Australia
$45,620 交易量
<1%
Japan
$39,496 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Russia have remained stalled since the August 2025 Anchorage summit produced no formal agreement on Ukraine. Recent developments center on CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s covert Moscow visit, where he proposed a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Zelenskyy to restart negotiations, though Putin has previously rejected such formats and no bilateral dates have been set. Ongoing U.S. envoy contacts and phone calls between the leaders have yielded limited progress amid battlefield stalemates and shifting territorial demands. These factors have positioned “no meeting by December 31” as the leading outcome in trader assessments, while China’s elevated share reflects speculation over potential neutral third-country venues should talks advance. Structural barriers, including unresolved core issues and lack of confirmed schedules, continue to shape the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$776,312结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Russia have remained stalled since the August 2025 Anchorage summit produced no formal agreement on Ukraine. Recent developments center on CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s covert Moscow visit, where he proposed a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Zelenskyy to restart negotiations, though Putin has previously rejected such formats and no bilateral dates have been set. Ongoing U.S. envoy contacts and phone calls between the leaders have yielded limited progress amid battlefield stalemates and shifting territorial demands. These factors have positioned “no meeting by December 31” as the leading outcome in trader assessments, while China’s elevated share reflects speculation over potential neutral third-country venues should talks advance. Structural barriers, including unresolved core issues and lack of confirmed schedules, continue to shape the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$776,312结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETDiplomatic efforts between the United States and Russia have remained stalled since the August 2025 Anchorage summit produced no formal agreement on Ukraine. Recent developments center on CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s covert Moscow visit, where he proposed a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Zelenskyy to restart negotiations, though Putin has previously rejected such formats and no bilateral dates have been set. Ongoing U.S. envoy contacts and phone calls between the leaders have yielded limited progress amid battlefield stalemates and shifting territorial demands. These factors have positioned “no meeting by December 31” as the leading outcome in trader assessments, while China’s elevated share reflects speculation over potential neutral third-country venues should talks advance. Structural barriers, including unresolved core issues and lack of confirmed schedules, continue to shape the current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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