Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 83%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 8.3%
রেনান সান্তোস 5.8%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো 1.1%
$4,622,962 Vol.
$4,622,962 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
83%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
8%
রেনান সান্তোস
6%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
রোমেউ জেমা
<1%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
<1%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
কামিলো সান্তানা
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো 83%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা 8.3%
রেনান সান্তোস 5.8%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো 1.1%
$4,622,962 Vol.
$4,622,962 Vol.
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো
83%
লুইজ ইনাসিও লুলা দা সিলভা
8%
রেনান সান্তোস
6%
রোনালদো কাইয়াদো
1%
রোমেউ জেমা
<1%
ফার্নান্দো হাদাদ
<1%
মিশেল বলসোনারো
<1%
জায়র বলসোনারো
<1%
কামিলো সান্তানা
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো বোলসোনারো
<1%
আলদো রেবেলো
<1%
তার্সিসিও দে ফ্রেইতাস
<1%
রাতিনহো জুনিয়র
<1%
গেরালদো আলক্মিন
<1%
এডুয়ার্দো লেইটে
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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