Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, prompting the European Central Bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent. This outlook has shifted market expectations toward at least two quarter-point rate hikes, likely in June and September, according to recent economist surveys and pricing in interest-rate swaps. The ECB's April decision to hold the deposit rate at 2 percent while adopting a data-dependent stance has reinforced trader views that incoming inflation data will support tightening rather than further easing. With the Governing Council emphasizing risks to price stability and no pre-commitment to a specific path, consensus pricing at 92 percent for a hike this year reflects the current balance of inflation pressures and resilient labor-market conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$114,285 Vol.
$114,285 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$114,285 Vol.
$114,285 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, prompting the European Central Bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent. This outlook has shifted market expectations toward at least two quarter-point rate hikes, likely in June and September, according to recent economist surveys and pricing in interest-rate swaps. The ECB's April decision to hold the deposit rate at 2 percent while adopting a data-dependent stance has reinforced trader views that incoming inflation data will support tightening rather than further easing. With the Governing Council emphasizing risks to price stability and no pre-commitment to a specific path, consensus pricing at 92 percent for a hike this year reflects the current balance of inflation pressures and resilient labor-market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$114,285শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, prompting the European Central Bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent. This outlook has shifted market expectations toward at least two quarter-point rate hikes, likely in June and September, according to recent economist surveys and pricing in interest-rate swaps. The ECB's April decision to hold the deposit rate at 2 percent while adopting a data-dependent stance has reinforced trader views that incoming inflation data will support tightening rather than further easing. With the Governing Council emphasizing risks to price stability and no pre-commitment to a specific path, consensus pricing at 92 percent for a hike this year reflects the current balance of inflation pressures and resilient labor-market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$114,285শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy prices higher, prompting the European Central Bank to revise its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.6 percent. This outlook has shifted market expectations toward at least two quarter-point rate hikes, likely in June and September, according to recent economist surveys and pricing in interest-rate swaps. The ECB's April decision to hold the deposit rate at 2 percent while adopting a data-dependent stance has reinforced trader views that incoming inflation data will support tightening rather than further easing. With the Governing Council emphasizing risks to price stability and no pre-commitment to a specific path, consensus pricing at 92 percent for a hike this year reflects the current balance of inflation pressures and resilient labor-market conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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