In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডProfessor Guilherme Amorim 28%
Tiago 27%
Michelle Bolsonaro 27%
Bia Kicis 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Guilherme Amorim
28%
Tiago
27%
Michelle Bolsonaro
27%
Bia Kicis
26%
Marley
25%
David Horn
24%
Guto Felício dos Santos
22%
Avenir Rosa
21%
Erika Kokay
21%
Sebastião Coelho
21%
Leila do Vôlei
20%
Ronaldo Fonseca
20%
Zanata
19%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 28%
Tiago 27%
Michelle Bolsonaro 27%
Bia Kicis 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Vol.
28%
Tiago
$0 Vol.
27%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
27%
Bia Kicis
$0 Vol.
26%
Marley
$0 Vol.
25%
David Horn
$0 Vol.
24%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Vol.
22%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Vol.
21%
Erika Kokay
$0 Vol.
21%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Vol.
21%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Vol.
20%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Vol.
20%
Zanata
$0 Vol.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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