The São Paulo Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Genial showing Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Márcio França, and Guilherme Derrite clustered near the top amid a field of over a dozen registered candidates. Vote fragmentation on the right—among Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), Ricardo Salles (Novo), and others—combined with center-left options keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as no single contender has consolidated enough support to pull ahead decisively. Official candidacies filed in July and August, alongside ongoing debates over security policy and economic priorities, have sustained this uncertainty without major shifts in the past month. Events that could create separation include further candidate withdrawals, targeted endorsements from state or national figures ahead of the October 4 vote, or polling surges tied to specific campaign events in key regions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWeller Gonçalves 42%
Maíra de Souza 41%
Salles 41%
Petter Maahs 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Weller Gonçalves
42%
Maíra de Souza
41%
Salles
41%
Petter Maahs
40%
Simone Tebet
30%
Marina Silva
28%
Geraldo Rufino
26%
Ednelson Cesaretti
22%
William Teixeira
20%
Marcio Alves
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
18%
André do Prado
17%
Guilherme Derrite
21%
Soninha Francine
41%
Weller Gonçalves 42%
Maíra de Souza 41%
Salles 41%
Petter Maahs 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 4, 2026
Weller Gonçalves
$38 Vol.
42%
Maíra de Souza
$38 Vol.
41%
Salles
$38 Vol.
41%
Petter Maahs
$38 Vol.
40%
Simone Tebet
$38 Vol.
30%
Marina Silva
$38 Vol.
28%
Geraldo Rufino
$38 Vol.
26%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$60 Vol.
22%
William Teixeira
$78 Vol.
20%
Marcio Alves
$58 Vol.
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$38 Vol.
18%
André do Prado
$38 Vol.
17%
Guilherme Derrite
$59 Vol.
21%
Soninha Francine
$59 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Genial showing Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Márcio França, and Guilherme Derrite clustered near the top amid a field of over a dozen registered candidates. Vote fragmentation on the right—among Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), Ricardo Salles (Novo), and others—combined with center-left options keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as no single contender has consolidated enough support to pull ahead decisively. Official candidacies filed in July and August, alongside ongoing debates over security policy and economic priorities, have sustained this uncertainty without major shifts in the past month. Events that could create separation include further candidate withdrawals, targeted endorsements from state or national figures ahead of the October 4 vote, or polling surges tied to specific campaign events in key regions.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
ভলিউম
$658শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Genial showing Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Márcio França, and Guilherme Derrite clustered near the top amid a field of over a dozen registered candidates. Vote fragmentation on the right—among Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), Ricardo Salles (Novo), and others—combined with center-left options keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as no single contender has consolidated enough support to pull ahead decisively. Official candidacies filed in July and August, alongside ongoing debates over security policy and economic priorities, have sustained this uncertainty without major shifts in the past month. Events that could create separation include further candidate withdrawals, targeted endorsements from state or national figures ahead of the October 4 vote, or polling surges tied to specific campaign events in key regions.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$658শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo Senate race for two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Genial showing Marina Silva, Simone Tebet, Márcio França, and Guilherme Derrite clustered near the top amid a field of over a dozen registered candidates. Vote fragmentation on the right—among Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), Ricardo Salles (Novo), and others—combined with center-left options keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as no single contender has consolidated enough support to pull ahead decisively. Official candidacies filed in July and August, alongside ongoing debates over security policy and economic priorities, have sustained this uncertainty without major shifts in the past month. Events that could create separation include further candidate withdrawals, targeted endorsements from state or national figures ahead of the October 4 vote, or polling surges tied to specific campaign events in key regions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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