Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.1%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$14,225 Vol.
$14,225 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Lula
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
4%
Zema
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.1%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$14,225 Vol.
$14,225 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Lula
$7,306 Vol.
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$608 Vol.
4%
Zema
$527 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$602 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$592 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$592 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$598 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$602 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$598 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$629 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$592 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$486 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$491 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,225শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$14,225শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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