Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 68% implied probability to a high of 28°C or higher in Guangzhou on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing peak temperatures near 28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth from a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China. Recent observations confirm the trend, with May 14 highs reaching around 32°C and May 15 forecasts near 30°C, but incoming easterly winds carrying moist air increase thunderstorm risk, potentially capping intensity as reflected in 18% odds for exactly 27°C per BBC and AccuWeather guidance (highs 26-27°C). High humidity above 80% and urban heat effects at Baiyun International Airport could push observed maxima higher; watch China Meteorological Administration updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 46%
27°C 20%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.6%
নতুন
নতুন
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
19%
28°C or higher
46%
28°C or higher 46%
27°C 20%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.6%
নতুন
নতুন
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$470 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$424 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$977 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$587 Vol.
2%
25°C
$915 Vol.
4%
26°C
$426 Vol.
11%
27°C
$388 Vol.
19%
28°C or higher
$775 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 68% implied probability to a high of 28°C or higher in Guangzhou on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing peak temperatures near 28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth from a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China. Recent observations confirm the trend, with May 14 highs reaching around 32°C and May 15 forecasts near 30°C, but incoming easterly winds carrying moist air increase thunderstorm risk, potentially capping intensity as reflected in 18% odds for exactly 27°C per BBC and AccuWeather guidance (highs 26-27°C). High humidity above 80% and urban heat effects at Baiyun International Airport could push observed maxima higher; watch China Meteorological Administration updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,825শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 68% implied probability to a high of 28°C or higher in Guangzhou on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing peak temperatures near 28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth from a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China. Recent observations confirm the trend, with May 14 highs reaching around 32°C and May 15 forecasts near 30°C, but incoming easterly winds carrying moist air increase thunderstorm risk, potentially capping intensity as reflected in 18% odds for exactly 27°C per BBC and AccuWeather guidance (highs 26-27°C). High humidity above 80% and urban heat effects at Baiyun International Airport could push observed maxima higher; watch China Meteorological Administration updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$6,825শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 68% implied probability to a high of 28°C or higher in Guangzhou on May 16, driven by the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing peak temperatures near 28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth from a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China. Recent observations confirm the trend, with May 14 highs reaching around 32°C and May 15 forecasts near 30°C, but incoming easterly winds carrying moist air increase thunderstorm risk, potentially capping intensity as reflected in 18% odds for exactly 27°C per BBC and AccuWeather guidance (highs 26-27°C). High humidity above 80% and urban heat effects at Baiyun International Airport could push observed maxima higher; watch China Meteorological Administration updates overnight for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা