Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 Vol.
$81,093 Vol.
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$81,093 Vol.
$81,093 Vol.
May 12, 2026
8°C or below
$2,281 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,594 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,526 Vol.
No
11°C
$10,292 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,661 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,765 Vol.
No
14°C
$6,175 Vol.
No
15°C
$26,426 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,651 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$9,564 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$5,161 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ভলিউম
$81,093শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$81,093শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 16°C in Helsinki on May 12, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 16°C before cooling to 10-12°C amid persistent cloud cover, southerly winds of 5-6 m/s, and scattered light precipitation limiting insolation. ECMWF and GFS forecast models align, projecting no further diurnal warming as the day progresses into evening. This fits May climatology averages of 14-15°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare post-finalization data revision upward from microclimatic sensor discrepancies or improbable clearing for a late-afternoon surge, with FMI bulletins expected post-midnight to confirm resolution via Wunderground archives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা