Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning with the mid-May climatological average and driving the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow from the Anatolian plateau create the narrow spread, with any increase in insolation or reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara potentially pushing readings to 23 °C or higher. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and short-range model updates scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$442 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,695 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,096 Vol.
1%
19°C
$731 Vol.
4%
20°C
$333 Vol.
13%
21°C
$434 Vol.
33%
22°C
$304 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$692 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning with the mid-May climatological average and driving the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow from the Anatolian plateau create the narrow spread, with any increase in insolation or reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara potentially pushing readings to 23 °C or higher. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and short-range model updates scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$8,401শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning with the mid-May climatological average and driving the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow from the Anatolian plateau create the narrow spread, with any increase in insolation or reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara potentially pushing readings to 23 °C or higher. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and short-range model updates scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$8,401শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System point to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning with the mid-May climatological average and driving the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow from the Anatolian plateau create the narrow spread, with any increase in insolation or reduced marine influence from the Sea of Marmara potentially pushing readings to 23 °C or higher. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and short-range model updates scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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