Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 7.5%
$64,618 Vol.
$64,618 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 7.5%
$64,618 Vol.
$64,618 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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