Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
$28,106 Vol.
$28,106 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
24%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
$28,106 Vol.
$28,106 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
24%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা