Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
28°C 32%
29°C 31%
27°C 29%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
31%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
29°C 31%
27°C 29%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
31%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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