Recent geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East have lifted oil prices toward $95 per barrel, stoking inflation concerns and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to a high of 4.818% on September 2—its strongest level since November 2023—before easing to around 4.77% following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Traders now price roughly even odds of a September rate hike after earlier hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, elevated fiscal deficits, and resilient growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, August CPI on September 11, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where fresh economic projections could clarify the policy path and influence yield volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Sep 30, 2026
5.10%
6%
5.05%
50%
5.00%
50%
4.97%
50%
4.94%
50%
4.91%
50%
4.88%
50%
4.85%
50%
4.82%
62%
$0.00 Vol.
5.10%
$0 Vol.
6%
5.05%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.00%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.97%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.94%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.91%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.88%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.85%
$0 Vol.
50%
4.82%
$0 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East have lifted oil prices toward $95 per barrel, stoking inflation concerns and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to a high of 4.818% on September 2—its strongest level since November 2023—before easing to around 4.77% following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Traders now price roughly even odds of a September rate hike after earlier hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, elevated fiscal deficits, and resilient growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, August CPI on September 11, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where fresh economic projections could clarify the policy path and influence yield volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East have lifted oil prices toward $95 per barrel, stoking inflation concerns and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to a high of 4.818% on September 2—its strongest level since November 2023—before easing to around 4.77% following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Traders now price roughly even odds of a September rate hike after earlier hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, elevated fiscal deficits, and resilient growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, August CPI on September 11, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where fresh economic projections could clarify the policy path and influence yield volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East have lifted oil prices toward $95 per barrel, stoking inflation concerns and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to a high of 4.818% on September 2—its strongest level since November 2023—before easing to around 4.77% following dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Traders now price roughly even odds of a September rate hike after earlier hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, elevated fiscal deficits, and resilient growth. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, August CPI on September 11, and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where fresh economic projections could clarify the policy path and influence yield volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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