Recent developments at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid a record four dissents—the most since 1992—have driven trader consensus toward zero dissents at the June 16-17 gathering. That session featured three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target and one governor favoring an immediate cut, reflecting heightened sensitivity to upside risks from energy prices and Middle East developments. With futures markets now pricing negligible probability of 2026 rate cuts and incoming leadership communications emphasizing data-dependent neutrality, the 71.5% implied probability on zero dissents captures expectations of restored alignment. Residual 15.5% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around May CPI and labor-market readings, while lower probabilities for two or more dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 72%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,466 Vol.
$19,466 Vol.
0
72%
1
16%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 72%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,466 Vol.
$19,466 Vol.
0
72%
1
16%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid a record four dissents—the most since 1992—have driven trader consensus toward zero dissents at the June 16-17 gathering. That session featured three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid persistent inflation above the 2% target and one governor favoring an immediate cut, reflecting heightened sensitivity to upside risks from energy prices and Middle East developments. With futures markets now pricing negligible probability of 2026 rate cuts and incoming leadership communications emphasizing data-dependent neutrality, the 71.5% implied probability on zero dissents captures expectations of restored alignment. Residual 15.5% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around May CPI and labor-market readings, while lower probabilities for two or more dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা