Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 8%
3 6%
$19,356 Vol.
$19,356 Vol.
0
74%
1
15%
2
8%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 8%
3 6%
$19,356 Vol.
$19,356 Vol.
0
74%
1
15%
2
8%
3
6%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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