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অর্থনীতি·ব্যবসা

2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?

icon for 2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?
অর্থনীতি·ব্যবসা

2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?

০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 70.2%

১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 16%

২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 7%

৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 2.5%

Polymarket

$26,940,563 Vol.

০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 70.2%

১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 16%

২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 7%

৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 2.5%

Polymarket

$26,940,563 Vol.

০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$4,189,211 Vol.

70%

১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,245,187 Vol.

16%

২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,204,668 Vol.

7%

৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,114,221 Vol.

3%

৪ (১০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,196,927 Vol.

1%

৫ (১২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,418,709 Vol.

1%

৬ (১৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$2,491,185 Vol.

1%

৭ (১৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,324,587 Vol.

<1%

৮ (২০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$1,735,167 Vol.

<1%

৯ (২২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$2,455,728 Vol.

<1%

১০ (২৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$3,124,186 Vol.

<1%

১১ (২৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$3,275,046 Vol.

<1%

১২+ (৩০০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)

$2,166,130 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the Iran conflict, have driven energy prices higher and pushed March 2026 CPI inflation to 3.3 percent, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50-3.75 percent through its latest meetings. This environment has led trader consensus on Polymarket to assign a 70.3 percent implied probability to zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026, consistent with CME FedWatch pricing near 71.5 percent for no easing this year. Major brokerages including Bank of America now forecast the first cut no earlier than mid-2027, citing resilient labor market conditions and elevated inflation risks that outweigh growth concerns. Upcoming FOMC decisions and labor market releases will remain key swing factors for any shift in these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.

For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).

This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.

Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
ভলিউম
$26,940,563
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the Iran conflict, have driven energy prices higher and pushed March 2026 CPI inflation to 3.3 percent, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50-3.75 percent through its latest meetings. This environment has led trader consensus on Polymarket to assign a 70.3 percent implied probability to zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026, consistent with CME FedWatch pricing near 71.5 percent for no easing this year. Major brokerages including Bank of America now forecast the first cut no earlier than mid-2027, citing resilient labor market conditions and elevated inflation risks that outweigh growth concerns. Upcoming FOMC decisions and labor market releases will remain key swing factors for any shift in these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.

For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).

This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.

Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
ভলিউম
$26,940,563
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?" হলো Polymarket-এ 13 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)" 70%-এ, তারপর "১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)" 16%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?" মোট $26.9 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Sep 29, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 13 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)" 70%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 70% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)" 16%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"2026 সালে ফেড রেট কত কমিয়েছে?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।