Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions has reinforced trader expectations for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The Fed maintained its 3.50%-3.75% target range at the April FOMC meeting, citing solid economic growth and attentiveness to upside inflation risks while noting a resilient labor market. This aligns with the market-implied 70.3% probability of zero cuts and broker forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs projecting a hold through year-end before any easing in 2027. With the next major inflation release due in June and no immediate FOMC easing signals, the current policy stance continues to anchor these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 70.2%
১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 16%
২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 7%
৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 2.8%
$26,966,832 Vol.
$26,966,832 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
70%
১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
16%
২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
7%
৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
3%
৪ (১০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
1%
৫ (১২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
1%
৬ (১৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
1%
৭ (১৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
<1%
৮ (২০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
<1%
৯ (২২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
<1%
১০ (২৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
<1%
১১ (২৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
<1%
১২+ (৩০০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
1%
০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 70.2%
১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 16%
২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 7%
৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট) 2.8%
$26,966,832 Vol.
$26,966,832 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
০ (০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$4,190,399 Vol.
70%
১ (২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,245,308 Vol.
16%
২ (৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,204,676 Vol.
7%
৩ (৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,114,226 Vol.
3%
৪ (১০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,198,469 Vol.
1%
৫ (১২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,420,482 Vol.
1%
৬ (১৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$2,497,315 Vol.
1%
৭ (১৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,327,612 Vol.
<1%
৮ (২০০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$1,738,174 Vol.
<1%
৯ (২২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$2,457,124 Vol.
<1%
১০ (২৫০ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$3,126,492 Vol.
<1%
১১ (২৭৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$3,277,084 Vol.
<1%
১২+ (৩০০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট)
$2,169,549 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions has reinforced trader expectations for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The Fed maintained its 3.50%-3.75% target range at the April FOMC meeting, citing solid economic growth and attentiveness to upside inflation risks while noting a resilient labor market. This aligns with the market-implied 70.3% probability of zero cuts and broker forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs projecting a hold through year-end before any easing in 2027. With the next major inflation release due in June and no immediate FOMC easing signals, the current policy stance continues to anchor these odds.
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$26,966,832শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions has reinforced trader expectations for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The Fed maintained its 3.50%-3.75% target range at the April FOMC meeting, citing solid economic growth and attentiveness to upside inflation risks while noting a resilient labor market. This aligns with the market-implied 70.3% probability of zero cuts and broker forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs projecting a hold through year-end before any easing in 2027. With the next major inflation release due in June and no immediate FOMC easing signals, the current policy stance continues to anchor these odds.
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
ভলিউম
$26,966,832শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions has reinforced trader expectations for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The Fed maintained its 3.50%-3.75% target range at the April FOMC meeting, citing solid economic growth and attentiveness to upside inflation risks while noting a resilient labor market. This aligns with the market-implied 70.3% probability of zero cuts and broker forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs projecting a hold through year-end before any easing in 2027. With the next major inflation release due in June and no immediate FOMC easing signals, the current policy stance continues to anchor these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা