Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to conclude recent hostilities have centered on Tehran's stockpile of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium as a core issue in any potential nuclear agreement. In mid-May 2026 both sides publicly aligned on deferring direct talks about the material's fate, after Iran proposed limited transfers to a third country with return guarantees while rejecting facility dismantlement or full surrender. President Trump has repeatedly identified handover of the stockpile as a non-negotiable demand, though recent Iranian counteroffers and mutual distrust have kept positions apart. Traders assessing resolution by mid-2026 weigh these stalled diplomatic exchanges against historical patterns of incremental concessions in prior talks and the absence of imminent deadlines or verified breakthroughs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডইরান সমৃদ্ধ ইউরেনিয়াম মজুদ সমর্পণ করতে সম্মত...?
$7,332,069 Vol.
May 31
4%
৩০ জুন
15%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
43%
$7,332,069 Vol.
May 31
4%
৩০ জুন
15%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
43%
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to conclude recent hostilities have centered on Tehran's stockpile of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium as a core issue in any potential nuclear agreement. In mid-May 2026 both sides publicly aligned on deferring direct talks about the material's fate, after Iran proposed limited transfers to a third country with return guarantees while rejecting facility dismantlement or full surrender. President Trump has repeatedly identified handover of the stockpile as a non-negotiable demand, though recent Iranian counteroffers and mutual distrust have kept positions apart. Traders assessing resolution by mid-2026 weigh these stalled diplomatic exchanges against historical patterns of incremental concessions in prior talks and the absence of imminent deadlines or verified breakthroughs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা