Ongoing negotiations in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese delegations center on extending the fragile April 2026 ceasefire while addressing a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, border demarcation, prisoner exchanges, and reconstruction. Israel maintains a self-declared security buffer zone inside Lebanese territory to prevent Hezbollah rocket threats, even as recent airstrikes and displacement orders continue amid the truce's scheduled expiration. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has conditioned lasting stability on a concrete withdrawal timetable, while U.S. diplomacy seeks de-escalation to advance both security and political tracks. These developments, set against the impending end of UNIFIL's mandate in December 2026, shape trader assessments of whether withdrawal can occur by mid-year deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
$1,543,458 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
7%
$1,543,458 Vol.
May 31
$1,237,290 Vol.
1%
June 30
$231,161 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Ongoing negotiations in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese delegations center on extending the fragile April 2026 ceasefire while addressing a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, border demarcation, prisoner exchanges, and reconstruction. Israel maintains a self-declared security buffer zone inside Lebanese territory to prevent Hezbollah rocket threats, even as recent airstrikes and displacement orders continue amid the truce's scheduled expiration. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has conditioned lasting stability on a concrete withdrawal timetable, while U.S. diplomacy seeks de-escalation to advance both security and political tracks. These developments, set against the impending end of UNIFIL's mandate in December 2026, shape trader assessments of whether withdrawal can occur by mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,543,458শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Ongoing negotiations in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese delegations center on extending the fragile April 2026 ceasefire while addressing a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, border demarcation, prisoner exchanges, and reconstruction. Israel maintains a self-declared security buffer zone inside Lebanese territory to prevent Hezbollah rocket threats, even as recent airstrikes and displacement orders continue amid the truce's scheduled expiration. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has conditioned lasting stability on a concrete withdrawal timetable, while U.S. diplomacy seeks de-escalation to advance both security and political tracks. These developments, set against the impending end of UNIFIL's mandate in December 2026, shape trader assessments of whether withdrawal can occur by mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,543,458শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese delegations center on extending the fragile April 2026 ceasefire while addressing a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, border demarcation, prisoner exchanges, and reconstruction. Israel maintains a self-declared security buffer zone inside Lebanese territory to prevent Hezbollah rocket threats, even as recent airstrikes and displacement orders continue amid the truce's scheduled expiration. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has conditioned lasting stability on a concrete withdrawal timetable, while U.S. diplomacy seeks de-escalation to advance both security and political tracks. These developments, set against the impending end of UNIFIL's mandate in December 2026, shape trader assessments of whether withdrawal can occur by mid-year deadlines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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