The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 Vol.
$12,057 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 Vol.
$12,057 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,401 Vol.
94%
5-9
$2,064 Vol.
2%
10-14
$984 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Vol.
2%
20-24
$946 Vol.
1%
25-29
$405 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Vol.
1%
35-39
$448 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$503 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Vol.
<1%
60+
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,057শেষ তারিখ
May 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$12,057শেষ তারিখ
May 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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