Traders currently assign the strongest probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the May 15–22 window, consistent with his long-standing pattern of measured public communication. Recent diplomatic exchanges with regional actors and statements on domestic economic priorities have not generated the volume of official commentary seen in prior periods of heightened tension. The pricing reflects expectations that no immediate escalation in foreign policy disputes or domestic policy shifts will require additional output from the office in the coming days. Historical posting frequency during comparable intervals without major announcements reinforces this positioning, though any unanticipated regional development could alter activity levels before the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 67%
55-59 9.5%
5-9 8%
10-14 1.1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 22, 2026
<5
67%
5-9
18%
10-14
23%
15-19
20%
20-24
14%
25-29
10%
30-34
12%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
10%
60+
<1%
<5 67%
55-59 9.5%
5-9 8%
10-14 1.1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 22, 2026
<5
$297 Vol.
67%
5-9
$81 Vol.
18%
10-14
$90 Vol.
23%
15-19
$63 Vol.
20%
20-24
$62 Vol.
14%
25-29
$62 Vol.
10%
30-34
$120 Vol.
12%
35-39
$88 Vol.
1%
40-44
$190 Vol.
1%
45-49
$120 Vol.
1%
50-54
$197 Vol.
1%
55-59
$182 Vol.
10%
60+
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders currently assign the strongest probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the May 15–22 window, consistent with his long-standing pattern of measured public communication. Recent diplomatic exchanges with regional actors and statements on domestic economic priorities have not generated the volume of official commentary seen in prior periods of heightened tension. The pricing reflects expectations that no immediate escalation in foreign policy disputes or domestic policy shifts will require additional output from the office in the coming days. Historical posting frequency during comparable intervals without major announcements reinforces this positioning, though any unanticipated regional development could alter activity levels before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,888শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders currently assign the strongest probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the May 15–22 window, consistent with his long-standing pattern of measured public communication. Recent diplomatic exchanges with regional actors and statements on domestic economic priorities have not generated the volume of official commentary seen in prior periods of heightened tension. The pricing reflects expectations that no immediate escalation in foreign policy disputes or domestic policy shifts will require additional output from the office in the coming days. Historical posting frequency during comparable intervals without major announcements reinforces this positioning, though any unanticipated regional development could alter activity levels before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$1,888শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders currently assign the strongest probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the May 15–22 window, consistent with his long-standing pattern of measured public communication. Recent diplomatic exchanges with regional actors and statements on domestic economic priorities have not generated the volume of official commentary seen in prior periods of heightened tension. The pricing reflects expectations that no immediate escalation in foreign policy disputes or domestic policy shifts will require additional output from the office in the coming days. Historical posting frequency during comparable intervals without major announcements reinforces this positioning, though any unanticipated regional development could alter activity levels before the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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