Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads Likud member polls for top spots on the party's Knesset slate ahead of the primary scheduled for August 17, 2026, reflecting strong backing among registered voters in internal surveys. Netanyahu's allocation of reserved slots to allies has narrowed competition for open positions, while recent Agam Institute polling places Ohana first among members, ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ohana as the primary winner, given historical patterns where member preferences heavily influence final rankings in Likud primaries. Lower probabilities for other candidates like Yariv Levin and Eli Cohen track their trailing support in the same surveys, with minimal movement expected from last-minute developments before voting concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAmir Ohana 83%
Tally Gotliv 12.3%
Yariv Levin 6.2%
Eli Cohen 2.4%
$59,985 Vol.
$59,985 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
83%
Tally Gotliv
12%
Yariv Levin
6%
Eli Cohen
2%
No Primary by Knesset Election
2%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Moshe Saada
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Israel Katz
<1%
Miri Regev
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Yoav Kisch
<1%
Miki Zohar
<1%
David Bitan
<1%
Amir Ohana 83%
Tally Gotliv 12.3%
Yariv Levin 6.2%
Eli Cohen 2.4%
$59,985 Vol.
$59,985 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
$19,242 Vol.
83%
Tally Gotliv
$12,557 Vol.
12%
Yariv Levin
$3,885 Vol.
6%
Eli Cohen
$1,435 Vol.
2%
No Primary by Knesset Election
$9,704 Vol.
2%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,281 Vol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$1,010 Vol.
1%
Moshe Saada
$876 Vol.
1%
David Amsalem
$826 Vol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$903 Vol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$904 Vol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,239 Vol.
<1%
Miri Regev
$650 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$2,174 Vol.
<1%
Yoav Kisch
$835 Vol.
<1%
Miki Zohar
$667 Vol.
<1%
David Bitan
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads Likud member polls for top spots on the party's Knesset slate ahead of the primary scheduled for August 17, 2026, reflecting strong backing among registered voters in internal surveys. Netanyahu's allocation of reserved slots to allies has narrowed competition for open positions, while recent Agam Institute polling places Ohana first among members, ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ohana as the primary winner, given historical patterns where member preferences heavily influence final rankings in Likud primaries. Lower probabilities for other candidates like Yariv Levin and Eli Cohen track their trailing support in the same surveys, with minimal movement expected from last-minute developments before voting concludes.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
ভলিউম
$59,985শেষ তারিখ
Oct 26, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads Likud member polls for top spots on the party's Knesset slate ahead of the primary scheduled for August 17, 2026, reflecting strong backing among registered voters in internal surveys. Netanyahu's allocation of reserved slots to allies has narrowed competition for open positions, while recent Agam Institute polling places Ohana first among members, ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ohana as the primary winner, given historical patterns where member preferences heavily influence final rankings in Likud primaries. Lower probabilities for other candidates like Yariv Levin and Eli Cohen track their trailing support in the same surveys, with minimal movement expected from last-minute developments before voting concludes.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
ভলিউম
$59,985শেষ তারিখ
Oct 26, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana leads Likud member polls for top spots on the party's Knesset slate ahead of the primary scheduled for August 17, 2026, reflecting strong backing among registered voters in internal surveys. Netanyahu's allocation of reserved slots to allies has narrowed competition for open positions, while recent Agam Institute polling places Ohana first among members, ahead of figures such as Tally Gotliv and Boaz Bismuth. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ohana as the primary winner, given historical patterns where member preferences heavily influence final rankings in Likud primaries. Lower probabilities for other candidates like Yariv Levin and Eli Cohen track their trailing support in the same surveys, with minimal movement expected from last-minute developments before voting concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা