Current early June rainfall accumulation in Seattle has already reached roughly 1.2 inches—near or above the 1991-2020 monthly normal of about 1.45 inches—yet long-range outlooks favor drier conditions for the remainder of the month as ENSO-neutral conditions give way to emerging El Niño, which typically suppresses Pacific Northwest summer precipitation. NOAA and Washington State Climate Office guidance highlight elevated odds of above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall through June-August, consistent with historical analogs where El Niño strengthens the subtropical high and shifts the storm track northward. Short-term model consensus points to mostly dry, stable high-pressure patterns after mid-month, though scattered showers remain possible and could add variability within the 1-2.5 inch range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on final NWS totals measured at Sea-Tac, with limited time left amplifying sensitivity to any late-month systems.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
36%
2.5-3"
13%
<0.5"
2%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
36%
2.5-3"
13%
<0.5"
2%
0.5-1"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current early June rainfall accumulation in Seattle has already reached roughly 1.2 inches—near or above the 1991-2020 monthly normal of about 1.45 inches—yet long-range outlooks favor drier conditions for the remainder of the month as ENSO-neutral conditions give way to emerging El Niño, which typically suppresses Pacific Northwest summer precipitation. NOAA and Washington State Climate Office guidance highlight elevated odds of above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall through June-August, consistent with historical analogs where El Niño strengthens the subtropical high and shifts the storm track northward. Short-term model consensus points to mostly dry, stable high-pressure patterns after mid-month, though scattered showers remain possible and could add variability within the 1-2.5 inch range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on final NWS totals measured at Sea-Tac, with limited time left amplifying sensitivity to any late-month systems.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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