Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by February airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and leadership, commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted at roughly 28% of pre-crisis daily volumes—17 vessels in the last 24 hours versus a normal 60—per live tracking data. Iran's IRGC enforces selective permissions favoring ships from China and Russia while imposing multimillion-dollar tolls, GNSS jamming, and mine threats, compounded by US port blockades and recent strikes like the May 10 attack on tanker Safesea Neha. Deadlocked Pakistan-mediated peace talks and Iran's latest demand for US concessions signal no imminent de-escalation, justifying traders' 93.5% consensus against normalization by May 31 absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডমে মাসের শেষের দিকে হরমুজ ট্র্যাফিকের স্ট্রেইট স্বাভাবিক অবস্থায় ফিরে আসবে?
মে মাসের শেষের দিকে হরমুজ ট্র্যাফিকের স্ট্রেইট স্বাভাবিক অবস্থায় ফিরে আসবে?
হ্যাঁ
$12,976,904 Vol.
$12,976,904 Vol.
May 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$12,976,904 Vol.
$12,976,904 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by February airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and leadership, commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted at roughly 28% of pre-crisis daily volumes—17 vessels in the last 24 hours versus a normal 60—per live tracking data. Iran's IRGC enforces selective permissions favoring ships from China and Russia while imposing multimillion-dollar tolls, GNSS jamming, and mine threats, compounded by US port blockades and recent strikes like the May 10 attack on tanker Safesea Neha. Deadlocked Pakistan-mediated peace talks and Iran's latest demand for US concessions signal no imminent de-escalation, justifying traders' 93.5% consensus against normalization by May 31 absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,976,904শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by February airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and leadership, commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted at roughly 28% of pre-crisis daily volumes—17 vessels in the last 24 hours versus a normal 60—per live tracking data. Iran's IRGC enforces selective permissions favoring ships from China and Russia while imposing multimillion-dollar tolls, GNSS jamming, and mine threats, compounded by US port blockades and recent strikes like the May 10 attack on tanker Safesea Neha. Deadlocked Pakistan-mediated peace talks and Iran's latest demand for US concessions signal no imminent de-escalation, justifying traders' 93.5% consensus against normalization by May 31 absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ভলিউম
$12,977,157শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the 2026 US-Iran war sparked by February airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and leadership, commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely restricted at roughly 28% of pre-crisis daily volumes—17 vessels in the last 24 hours versus a normal 60—per live tracking data. Iran's IRGC enforces selective permissions favoring ships from China and Russia while imposing multimillion-dollar tolls, GNSS jamming, and mine threats, compounded by US port blockades and recent strikes like the May 10 attack on tanker Safesea Neha. Deadlocked Pakistan-mediated peace talks and Iran's latest demand for US concessions signal no imminent de-escalation, justifying traders' 93.5% consensus against normalization by May 31 absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা