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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

May 15

May 15

Up

8% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$457 Vol.

Up

8% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket

$457 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Latest polls, including Reuters/Ipsos (May 11) at 36% approval and Nate Silver's May 13 average of 38.5%—a second-term low—confirm President Trump's job approval declining this week amid the ongoing Iran war and gas prices up 50% since late February. Public disapproval of his war handling has climbed to 60-66% per NPR/Marist and Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos surveys, with 75% attributing price hikes to the administration, eroding even Republican support from 73% in January. Economic handling approval has slumped, fueling trader consensus at 93% implied probability of further drop, though diplomatic de-escalation or positive economic data could shift odds ahead of midterms.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$457
শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Latest polls, including Reuters/Ipsos (May 11) at 36% approval and Nate Silver's May 13 average of 38.5%—a second-term low—confirm President Trump's job approval declining this week amid the ongoing Iran war and gas prices up 50% since late February. Public disapproval of his war handling has climbed to 60-66% per NPR/Marist and Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos surveys, with 75% attributing price hikes to the administration, eroding even Republican support from 73% in January. Economic handling approval has slumped, fueling trader consensus at 93% implied probability of further drop, though diplomatic de-escalation or positive economic data could shift odds ahead of midterms.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$457
শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 92% for "Down." A price of 92% means the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Trump approval Up or Down this week? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Trump approval Up or Down this week?," decide whether you believe Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on May 14 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on May 8. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" is 92% for "Down," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 92% chance that Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish down over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Trump approval Up or Down this week? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" market resolves based on a comparison of Trump approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on May 14 versus noon ET on May 8, using Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the May 14 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.