**No at 80.5% reflects the absence of any formal announcement or binding parliamentary decision to schedule a constitutional referendum before the end of 2026.** Ruling AKP figures, including Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş, have outlined ambitions for a new “civilian” constitution during the 2026-2027 window and formed expert commissions, while President Erdoğan has publicly tasked legal teams with drafting work. However, the governing alliance controls roughly 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly and falls short of the 360-vote threshold needed to advance amendments or trigger a popular vote without broader cross-party support. Recent emphasis has instead centered on Article 116 mechanisms for potential early elections in 2028 and parallel peace-process legislation involving the DEM Party, rather than an immediate referendum path. Adviser statements stress that any constitutional package would still require a public vote, yet no resolution timeline or draft has been presented to parliament this year, leaving traders viewing a 2026 announcement as improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড20% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
20% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 80.5% reflects the absence of any formal announcement or binding parliamentary decision to schedule a constitutional referendum before the end of 2026.** Ruling AKP figures, including Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş, have outlined ambitions for a new “civilian” constitution during the 2026-2027 window and formed expert commissions, while President Erdoğan has publicly tasked legal teams with drafting work. However, the governing alliance controls roughly 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly and falls short of the 360-vote threshold needed to advance amendments or trigger a popular vote without broader cross-party support. Recent emphasis has instead centered on Article 116 mechanisms for potential early elections in 2028 and parallel peace-process legislation involving the DEM Party, rather than an immediate referendum path. Adviser statements stress that any constitutional package would still require a public vote, yet no resolution timeline or draft has been presented to parliament this year, leaving traders viewing a 2026 announcement as improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,007শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 80.5% reflects the absence of any formal announcement or binding parliamentary decision to schedule a constitutional referendum before the end of 2026.** Ruling AKP figures, including Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş, have outlined ambitions for a new “civilian” constitution during the 2026-2027 window and formed expert commissions, while President Erdoğan has publicly tasked legal teams with drafting work. However, the governing alliance controls roughly 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly and falls short of the 360-vote threshold needed to advance amendments or trigger a popular vote without broader cross-party support. Recent emphasis has instead centered on Article 116 mechanisms for potential early elections in 2028 and parallel peace-process legislation involving the DEM Party, rather than an immediate referendum path. Adviser statements stress that any constitutional package would still require a public vote, yet no resolution timeline or draft has been presented to parliament this year, leaving traders viewing a 2026 announcement as improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$7,007শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**No at 80.5% reflects the absence of any formal announcement or binding parliamentary decision to schedule a constitutional referendum before the end of 2026.** Ruling AKP figures, including Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş, have outlined ambitions for a new “civilian” constitution during the 2026-2027 window and formed expert commissions, while President Erdoğan has publicly tasked legal teams with drafting work. However, the governing alliance controls roughly 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly and falls short of the 360-vote threshold needed to advance amendments or trigger a popular vote without broader cross-party support. Recent emphasis has instead centered on Article 116 mechanisms for potential early elections in 2028 and parallel peace-process legislation involving the DEM Party, rather than an immediate referendum path. Adviser statements stress that any constitutional package would still require a public vote, yet no resolution timeline or draft has been presented to parliament this year, leaving traders viewing a 2026 announcement as improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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