Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, including recent Omani-mediated rounds and May 2026 proposals for sanctions relief paired with limits on uranium enrichment and a potential 20-year pause, have shaped trader views on a nuclear agreement before 2027. President Trump’s public emphasis on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons capability, alongside Iran’s review of US drafts that defer some nuclear details while addressing sanctions and Strait of Hormuz access, supports the 59 percent Yes probability as a reflection of active diplomatic momentum. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns, however, continue to inject uncertainty into timelines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$1,332,722 Vol.
$1,332,722 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,332,722 Vol.
$1,332,722 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, including recent Omani-mediated rounds and May 2026 proposals for sanctions relief paired with limits on uranium enrichment and a potential 20-year pause, have shaped trader views on a nuclear agreement before 2027. President Trump’s public emphasis on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons capability, alongside Iran’s review of US drafts that defer some nuclear details while addressing sanctions and Strait of Hormuz access, supports the 59 percent Yes probability as a reflection of active diplomatic momentum. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns, however, continue to inject uncertainty into timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,332,722শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, including recent Omani-mediated rounds and May 2026 proposals for sanctions relief paired with limits on uranium enrichment and a potential 20-year pause, have shaped trader views on a nuclear agreement before 2027. President Trump’s public emphasis on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons capability, alongside Iran’s review of US drafts that defer some nuclear details while addressing sanctions and Strait of Hormuz access, supports the 59 percent Yes probability as a reflection of active diplomatic momentum. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns, however, continue to inject uncertainty into timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$1,332,722শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, including recent Omani-mediated rounds and May 2026 proposals for sanctions relief paired with limits on uranium enrichment and a potential 20-year pause, have shaped trader views on a nuclear agreement before 2027. President Trump’s public emphasis on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons capability, alongside Iran’s review of US drafts that defer some nuclear details while addressing sanctions and Strait of Hormuz access, supports the 59 percent Yes probability as a reflection of active diplomatic momentum. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, verification, and regional security concerns, however, continue to inject uncertainty into timelines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা