Ongoing US-Iran negotiations following the 2025-2026 conflict center on Iran's roughly 440 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium stockpile, with President Trump stating that Washington will obtain the material as part of any deal to end fighting and ease port restrictions. Iran responded with an offer to dilute some uranium and transfer the rest to a third country under return guarantees, while rejecting facility dismantlement and later declaring outright that no transfer to the United States would occur. These positions reflect persistent gaps over nuclear program limits and verification, keeping near-term resolution probabilities low amid trader assessments of stalled progress and mutual distrust. Further diplomatic exchanges or military signals before scheduled proposal deadlines could still shift the outlook.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডআমেরিকা ইরানি সমৃদ্ধ ইউরেনিয়াম পায়...?
$14,788,099 Vol.
৩১ মে
6%
June 30
13%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
27%
$14,788,099 Vol.
৩১ মে
6%
June 30
13%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
27%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 7, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations following the 2025-2026 conflict center on Iran's roughly 440 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium stockpile, with President Trump stating that Washington will obtain the material as part of any deal to end fighting and ease port restrictions. Iran responded with an offer to dilute some uranium and transfer the rest to a third country under return guarantees, while rejecting facility dismantlement and later declaring outright that no transfer to the United States would occur. These positions reflect persistent gaps over nuclear program limits and verification, keeping near-term resolution probabilities low amid trader assessments of stalled progress and mutual distrust. Further diplomatic exchanges or military signals before scheduled proposal deadlines could still shift the outlook.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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