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Welt·Globale Preise

Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?

icon for Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?
Welt·Globale Preise

Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?

Juni 16

Aug. 4

Juni 16

Aug. 4

Senkung 76%

Keine Änderung 23.3%

Erhöhung <1%

Polymarket

$140,225 Vol.

Senkung 76%

Keine Änderung 23.3%

Erhöhung <1%

Polymarket

$140,225 Vol.

Erhöhung

$41,318 Vol.

1%

Keine Änderung

$36,465 Vol.

23%

Senkung

$62,442 Vol.

76%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco Central do Brasil policymakers initiated a cautious easing cycle with 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April 2026, bringing the benchmark to 14.50 percent amid moderating GDP growth and clear evidence of monetary-policy transmission. March IPCA inflation printed at 4.14 percent year-over-year, still above the 3 percent target midpoint, while Focus-survey expectations for 2026 climbed to 4.9 percent, yet Copom minutes emphasized data dependence and an open calibration path rather than a pause. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore prices a June 17 cut at 76.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the balance between restrictive policy levels and decelerating domestic demand, while the 23.3 percent no-change odds capture lingering upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June Copom statement remain the next key data points that could shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$140,225
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banco Central do Brasil policymakers initiated a cautious easing cycle with 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April 2026, bringing the benchmark to 14.50 percent amid moderating GDP growth and clear evidence of monetary-policy transmission. March IPCA inflation printed at 4.14 percent year-over-year, still above the 3 percent target midpoint, while Focus-survey expectations for 2026 climbed to 4.9 percent, yet Copom minutes emphasized data dependence and an open calibration path rather than a pause. Trader consensus on Polymarket therefore prices a June 17 cut at 76.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the balance between restrictive policy levels and decelerating domestic demand, while the 23.3 percent no-change odds capture lingering upside inflation risks from Middle East energy shocks. The upcoming full April IPCA release and June Copom statement remain the next key data points that could shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$140,225
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Senkung" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Keine Änderung" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $140.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 24, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?" ist „Senkung" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Keine Änderung" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.