Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on modest expansion around 0.3%, reflecting a slowdown from the 1.1% QoQ print in Q1. Elevated central bank interest rates, maintained to anchor inflation near the upper end of the 1.5–4.5% target amid energy price pressures and fiscal expansion, have weighed on domestic demand and investment momentum. Analysts highlight moderating household consumption and a retreat in gross fixed capital formation after Q1 strength, partially offset by export gains in commodities. Market-implied odds align closely with forecaster models from sources such as Trading Economics and OECD projections for 2026 annual growth near 1.6%, with the September 1 data release serving as the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if outcomes deviate from the 0.3% median expectation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0,3 %–0,5 % 52.4%
0,0 %–0,2 % 23.1%
0,6 %–0,8 % 15.9%
0,9 %–1,1 % 10.1%
$45,436 Vol.
$45,436 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
<0,0 %
1%
0,0 %–0,2 %
23%
0,3 %–0,5 %
52%
0,6 %–0,8 %
16%
0,9 %–1,1 %
10%
1,2 %–1,4 %
<1%
≥1,5 %
<1%
0,3 %–0,5 % 52.4%
0,0 %–0,2 % 23.1%
0,6 %–0,8 % 15.9%
0,9 %–1,1 % 10.1%
$45,436 Vol.
$45,436 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
<0,0 %
$1,094 Vol.
1%
0,0 %–0,2 %
$3,404 Vol.
23%
0,3 %–0,5 %
$16,504 Vol.
52%
0,6 %–0,8 %
$14,748 Vol.
16%
0,9 %–1,1 %
$6,075 Vol.
10%
1,2 %–1,4 %
$2,775 Vol.
<1%
≥1,5 %
$836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on modest expansion around 0.3%, reflecting a slowdown from the 1.1% QoQ print in Q1. Elevated central bank interest rates, maintained to anchor inflation near the upper end of the 1.5–4.5% target amid energy price pressures and fiscal expansion, have weighed on domestic demand and investment momentum. Analysts highlight moderating household consumption and a retreat in gross fixed capital formation after Q1 strength, partially offset by export gains in commodities. Market-implied odds align closely with forecaster models from sources such as Trading Economics and OECD projections for 2026 annual growth near 1.6%, with the September 1 data release serving as the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if outcomes deviate from the 0.3% median expectation.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Markt eröffnet: Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volumen
$45,436Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on modest expansion around 0.3%, reflecting a slowdown from the 1.1% QoQ print in Q1. Elevated central bank interest rates, maintained to anchor inflation near the upper end of the 1.5–4.5% target amid energy price pressures and fiscal expansion, have weighed on domestic demand and investment momentum. Analysts highlight moderating household consumption and a retreat in gross fixed capital formation after Q1 strength, partially offset by export gains in commodities. Market-implied odds align closely with forecaster models from sources such as Trading Economics and OECD projections for 2026 annual growth near 1.6%, with the September 1 data release serving as the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if outcomes deviate from the 0.3% median expectation.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volumen
$45,436Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on modest expansion around 0.3%, reflecting a slowdown from the 1.1% QoQ print in Q1. Elevated central bank interest rates, maintained to anchor inflation near the upper end of the 1.5–4.5% target amid energy price pressures and fiscal expansion, have weighed on domestic demand and investment momentum. Analysts highlight moderating household consumption and a retreat in gross fixed capital formation after Q1 strength, partially offset by export gains in commodities. Market-implied odds align closely with forecaster models from sources such as Trading Economics and OECD projections for 2026 annual growth near 1.6%, with the September 1 data release serving as the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if outcomes deviate from the 0.3% median expectation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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