Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 95% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by late-April polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 20–26 percentage points in head-to-head matchups. Shin's edge stems from his smooth party primary victory on April 4 and Kim's damaging nomination saga—initial party exclusion overturned via court injunction on April 27—which lingers as a vulnerability amid voter fatigue with the ruling party's internal strife. Candidate registration on May 14 locked in the main matchup, with no major shifts since. While structural barriers limit challengers like Yoon Hee-geun or independents Do Jong-hwan, a Shin scandal, Kim momentum surge, or unexpected turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in der Provinz Chungcheongbuk
Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in der Provinz Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 92.2%
Yoon Hee-geun 4.0%
Do Jong-hwan 3.4%
Song Ki-sub <1%
$38,536 Vol.
$38,536 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Yoon Hee-geun
4%
Do Jong-hwan
3%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
Shin Yong-han 92.2%
Yoon Hee-geun 4.0%
Do Jong-hwan 3.4%
Song Ki-sub <1%
$38,536 Vol.
$38,536 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
92%
Yoon Hee-geun
4%
Do Jong-hwan
3%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 95% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by late-April polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan by 20–26 percentage points in head-to-head matchups. Shin's edge stems from his smooth party primary victory on April 4 and Kim's damaging nomination saga—initial party exclusion overturned via court injunction on April 27—which lingers as a vulnerability amid voter fatigue with the ruling party's internal strife. Candidate registration on May 14 locked in the main matchup, with no major shifts since. While structural barriers limit challengers like Yoon Hee-geun or independents Do Jong-hwan, a Shin scandal, Kim momentum surge, or unexpected turnout could narrow the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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