**Current forecast models from sources including GFS guidance and regional outputs indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and building high pressure around 1030 hPa.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.5 °C and recent September 2026 observations showing daytime maxima in the 18–20 °C range amid a cooler-than-normal monthly trend. The market’s leading 19 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) reflects this consensus, while the 18 °C share (20.5 %) captures downside risk from persistent cloud cover limiting insolation. Slightly higher 20 °C odds (19 %) remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs, but model agreement on stable, non-advective conditions reduces that likelihood. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing modest diurnal warming without significant warm-air transport, with resolution hinging on the official maximum at the Schiphol station. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 21. September?
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 20%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
50%
20°C
20%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
2%
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 20%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$13 Vol.
7%
18°C
$170 Vol.
21%
19°C
$431 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including GFS guidance and regional outputs indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and building high pressure around 1030 hPa.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.5 °C and recent September 2026 observations showing daytime maxima in the 18–20 °C range amid a cooler-than-normal monthly trend.
The market’s leading 19 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) reflects this consensus, while the 18 °C share (20.5 %) captures downside risk from persistent cloud cover limiting insolation. Slightly higher 20 °C odds (19 %) remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs, but model agreement on stable, non-advective conditions reduces that likelihood. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing modest diurnal warming without significant warm-air transport, with resolution hinging on the official maximum at the Schiphol station. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$613Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including GFS guidance and regional outputs indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and building high pressure around 1030 hPa.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.5 °C and recent September 2026 observations showing daytime maxima in the 18–20 °C range amid a cooler-than-normal monthly trend.
The market’s leading 19 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) reflects this consensus, while the 18 °C share (20.5 %) captures downside risk from persistent cloud cover limiting insolation. Slightly higher 20 °C odds (19 %) remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs, but model agreement on stable, non-advective conditions reduces that likelihood. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing modest diurnal warming without significant warm-air transport, with resolution hinging on the official maximum at the Schiphol station. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$613Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources including GFS guidance and regional outputs indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and building high pressure around 1030 hPa.** This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.5 °C and recent September 2026 observations showing daytime maxima in the 18–20 °C range amid a cooler-than-normal monthly trend. The market’s leading 19 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) reflects this consensus, while the 18 °C share (20.5 %) captures downside risk from persistent cloud cover limiting insolation. Slightly higher 20 °C odds (19 %) remain possible if afternoon clearing occurs, but model agreement on stable, non-advective conditions reduces that likelihood. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing modest diurnal warming without significant warm-air transport, with resolution hinging on the official maximum at the Schiphol station. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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