Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 17. Mai?
19°C 99.7%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$99,869 Vol.
$99,869 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.7%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$99,869 Vol.
$99,869 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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