Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to a Beijing maximum near 27°C on May 18 under clear skies and light southerly flow that supports gradual daytime warming. This setup matches mid-May climatology across the North China Plain, where typical highs fall between 26°C and 28°C. Small model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak solar insolation, producing the tight distribution seen in market-implied odds around the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the contract, with any localized adjustments possible from these subtle atmospheric variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. Mai?
27°C 32%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
NEU
$26,120 Vol.
NEU
$26,120 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
32%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
25°C 12%
NEU
$26,120 Vol.
NEU
$26,120 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
$8,632 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,289 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,297 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,037 Vol.
12%
26°C
$2,050 Vol.
20%
27°C
$1,137 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,026 Vol.
25%
29°C
$802 Vol.
8%
30°C
$489 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,381 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,981 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to a Beijing maximum near 27°C on May 18 under clear skies and light southerly flow that supports gradual daytime warming. This setup matches mid-May climatology across the North China Plain, where typical highs fall between 26°C and 28°C. Small model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak solar insolation, producing the tight distribution seen in market-implied odds around the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the contract, with any localized adjustments possible from these subtle atmospheric variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$26,120Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to a Beijing maximum near 27°C on May 18 under clear skies and light southerly flow that supports gradual daytime warming. This setup matches mid-May climatology across the North China Plain, where typical highs fall between 26°C and 28°C. Small model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak solar insolation, producing the tight distribution seen in market-implied odds around the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the contract, with any localized adjustments possible from these subtle atmospheric variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,120Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to a Beijing maximum near 27°C on May 18 under clear skies and light southerly flow that supports gradual daytime warming. This setup matches mid-May climatology across the North China Plain, where typical highs fall between 26°C and 28°C. Small model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak solar insolation, producing the tight distribution seen in market-implied odds around the leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the contract, with any localized adjustments possible from these subtle atmospheric variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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