Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models show a southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C for May 17. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate the peak and keep the high from exceeding this value. Historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s under similar synoptic patterns, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus on 30 °C. Any shift in the timing or strength of the sea breeze, or an unexpected model revision before evening observations close, could introduce limited upside risk to 31 °C or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 17. Mai?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models show a southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C for May 17. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate the peak and keep the high from exceeding this value. Historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the upper 20s to low 30s under similar synoptic patterns, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus on 30 °C. Any shift in the timing or strength of the sea breeze, or an unexpected model revision before evening observations close, could introduce limited upside risk to 31 °C or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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