Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a daytime high of 28–30°C in Busan on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that supports modest daytime warming. This narrow forecast window drives the market’s tight clustering on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, which together exceed 57% implied probability, while lower probabilities on 28°C and 31°C reflect residual uncertainty in peak timing and short-range model adjustments. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the precise evolution of the ridge will determine whether the official maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the expected range, with final resolution depending on KMA station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 18. Mai?
29°C 29%
30°C 29%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
$14,069 Vol.
$14,069 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 29%
30°C 29%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
$14,069 Vol.
$14,069 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKCurrent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a daytime high of 28–30°C in Busan on May 18 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that supports modest daytime warming. This narrow forecast window drives the market’s tight clustering on the 29°C and 30°C outcomes, which together exceed 57% implied probability, while lower probabilities on 28°C and 31°C reflect residual uncertainty in peak timing and short-range model adjustments. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the precise evolution of the ridge will determine whether the official maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the expected range, with final resolution depending on KMA station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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