Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a mostly sunny September 2 in Cape Town with southerly flow off the Benguela Current moderating daytime highs near 19°C, close to the early-spring climatological average of 18–19°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as near-even leaders in trader-implied odds, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum temperatures driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Key variables include exact wind speeds and any late-day marine layer development, with updated short-range runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 2. September?
19°C 38%
20°C 35%
18°C 13%
21°C 12%
15°C oder weniger
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
38%
20°C
35%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 35%
18°C 13%
21°C 12%
15°C oder weniger
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
38%
20°C
35%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a mostly sunny September 2 in Cape Town with southerly flow off the Benguela Current moderating daytime highs near 19°C, close to the early-spring climatological average of 18–19°C. This positions 19°C and 20°C as near-even leaders in trader-implied odds, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum temperatures driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Key variables include exact wind speeds and any late-day marine layer development, with updated short-range runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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