Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. Mai?
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 14.8%
20°C 14%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
15%
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 14.8%
20°C 14%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
13°C or below
$589 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$800 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$825 Vol.
5%
20°C
$440 Vol.
14%
21°C
$487 Vol.
33%
22°C
$356 Vol.
34%
23°C or higher
$894 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$9,063Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,063Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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