Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the ECMWF and GFS show Jinan under partly cloudy to sunny conditions on August 30, with daytime highs projected between 28–33°C driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum well above 26°C, aligning with the market’s 99% implied probability for that threshold. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns with minimal precipitation further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and rain, though current model agreement and the proximity to resolution make such changes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 30. August?
26°C or higher 99.0%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.0%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like the ECMWF and GFS show Jinan under partly cloudy to sunny conditions on August 30, with daytime highs projected between 28–33°C driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum well above 26°C, aligning with the market’s 99% implied probability for that threshold. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns with minimal precipitation further reinforce trader positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and rain, though current model agreement and the proximity to resolution make such changes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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