Forecast models from multiple meteorological services indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and negligible precipitation, well above the 26°C threshold. This reflects typical early-September conditions in Shandong province, where seasonal high pressure and subsiding air maintain daytime warmth before cooler autumn patterns strengthen later in the month. Historical averages for the period hover near 27–28°C, and the current consensus across sources shows minimal model spread or risk of significant cooling. The 92% market-implied probability aligns with this strong agreement, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a revised forecast run could still shift the outcome below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 2. September?
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
91%
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple meteorological services indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds, and negligible precipitation, well above the 26°C threshold. This reflects typical early-September conditions in Shandong province, where seasonal high pressure and subsiding air maintain daytime warmth before cooler autumn patterns strengthen later in the month. Historical averages for the period hover near 27–28°C, and the current consensus across sources shows minimal model spread or risk of significant cooling. The 92% market-implied probability aligns with this strong agreement, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a revised forecast run could still shift the outcome below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen